[ISN] Security IPOs: a good bet

From: mea culpa <jericho_at_dimensional.com>
Date: Wed 20 May 1998 - 20:21:56 CDT
Security IPOs: a good bet
By Om Malik

 [I]SS Group (ISSX), a network security software company based in Atlanta,
Ga., began its life as a Georgia Tech University student project in 1994.
Four years later it is one of the hottest new companies to list on the
technology-heavy Nasdaq Exchange. 

ISS Group went public on Mar. 24, and saw its shares soar 78%, to $39,
from the initial offering price of $22 a share. At the end of trading on
May 15, ISS was up 92%, to $42.125, giving the company a market
capitalization of $550 million. Not bad for a company which has yet to
turn a profit on sales of $13.5 million in 1997. 

ISS Group's gains are representative of the spectacular stock market gains
posted by security software companies. According to New York-based
investment management firm, CIBC Oppenheimer, on average, public security
software companies are up 253% since going public. 

Take Axent Technologies (AXNT), for example. The company tapped the public
markets on Apr. 24, 1996 at $14 a share. On May 8, 1998, Axent closed at
$29.88, up 113%. Another big gainer is Network Associates (NETA), up
1,271% to $65.13 from its IPO price of $4.75 a share. (Click here to read
more about Network Associates. Get Network Associates corporate profile.) 

However, call the sector a late bloomer. With a handful of exceptions, the
group companies start posting strong performance only in their second year
of existence, according to CIBC Oppenheimer research. (See table, below.) 

Example: Axent, which was down 6% in its first year as a publicly traded
company, is now up 113%. Similarly, Symantec (SYMC), which went public on
June 15, 1989 at $4.75 (split adjusted), was up a mere 155% in year one,
but on May 8, 1998 it closed at $28.13, up 492%. 

For investors who have patience to handle the early jitters of the IPO
aftermarket, security software stocks can prove to be a prudent bet. 

                    IPO                 3/27/98
                 date   price 1-year  Price Change
    Company                   change         from
                                (%)           IPO
                                              (%)
 Axent
 Technologies  4/24/96 $14.00     -6% $29.88  113%
 Checkpoint
 Software      6/28/96  14.00      71  43.13   208
 Technologies
 Cylink Corp.  2/15/96  15.00     -27  14.94     0
 Dr. Solomon's
 Group PLC     11/26/96 17.00     104  35.63   110
 Internet
 Security      3/23/98  38.00     N/A  37.88     0
 Systems
 Network
 Associates    10/15/92  4.75     -63  65.13 1,271
 Memco
 Software Ltd. 10/16/96 15.00      75  31.00   107
 Raptor
 Systems       2/7/96   15.00      27  15.00     0
 SCM
 Microsystems  10/7/97  13.00     N/A  77.63   497
 Secure
 Computing     11/17/95 16.00     -42  13.75   -14
 Security
 Dynamics      12/14/94  4.00    1119  41.13   928
 Technologies
 Symantec
 Corp.         6/15/89   4.75     155  28.13   492
 Trusted
 Information   10/10/96 13.00      -8  20.56    58
 Systems
 V-One Corp.   10/24/96     5      13   2.75   -45
 Verisign
 Corp.         1/30/98  14.00     N/A  42.50   204
 Total                                      253.3%

Raptor stopped trading as of February
6th, one day after board approval of
Axent/Raptor acquisition.

Source: CIBC Oppenheimer Corp.


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Received on Wed May 20 21:58:47 1998
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